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Air War in Ukraine

In the second half of November, it snowed in eastern Ukraine. This shot of Oksana was published on November 20.


Strengthening of Anti-Aircraft Defense before Winter

 

Text: Miro Barič

Photos:  Ukrainian armed forces, social media and other public sources


The destruction of a Russian corvette, confirmation (or refutation) of several losses from previous months, and especially the reinforcement of Ukrainian anti-aircraft defense – all of this unfolded in connection with the air war in Ukraine from November 1 to November 31. On the ground, Russian forces attempted massive attacks throughout the month. However, despite significant losses in armored vehicles and manpower, they achieved only minimal territorial gains.


 During the observed period, there were no known losses of Ukrainian aircraft or helicopters, whether on the ground or in the air. In early November, a previously unknown photo of two wrecks of Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopters surfaced. They were evidently transported to a dump from the crash site, and their loss occurred sometime in the past.

 Towards the end of the month, the Russians also boasted about the destruction of another Ukrainian Su-25 fighter at the Dolgintsevo airport near the city of Kryvyi Rih. In September and October, both this base and the Kulbakino airport near Mykolayiv had experienced several drone attacks using the new version of the Lancet drones on parked Ukrainian aircraft, including MiG-29s and Su-25s. While the initial attacks were surprising, the repeated ones raised questions about why the Ukrainians allowed it. A video released on November 30 may provide an answer, capturing a machine in hiding exploding after being hit by a drone. At first glance, it appears to be a Su-25 in digital camouflage with Ukrainian markings. However, closer inspection reveals inconsistencies, such as a missing antenna and only four underwing hardpoints, while a Su-25 should have five. The shadow of the front landing gear indicates significant simplification. The definitive proof that it is a decoy lies in the engine nacelles, which are entirely suspended under the wings, whereas in reality, they smoothly transition to the upper surface of the wings. The model perfectly fulfilled its role as bait, and the Russians needlessly wasted a Lancet drone on it. At the same time, it raises doubts about previous attacks. The first ones probably did target real aircraft, but with the repeated ones, it's not as certain.

The Air Force Command published a photo of the latest 80K6KC1 Fenix-1 radar, which was developed in Ukraine and entered service in 2021.

Wrecks of two Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopters.

A shot from a Russian video captures the attack of the Lancet drone on a dummy Su-25.

Tail of the Russian Su-24M with the designation RF-92025 and fuselage number "blue 48" in Soledar.

Wreckage of Su-24M "blue 48" at the original location.

Colonel Alexander Gal died in the Ukrainian drone attack on Kursk airport.


Older Losses

 On the Russian side, there were no losses during the observed period, but new information emerged about some previous losses. In Soledar, north of Bachmut, a new image showed the tail surfaces of a shot-down Su-24M with the designation RF-92025 and fuselage number "blue 48." The aircraft belonged to the 37th mixed aviation regiment and was likely shot down in the vicinity of Soledar in December 2022. Some wreckage was then transferred to a residential area directly in the city.

 When Russians are under Ukrainian attacks, they tend to claim that their anti-aircraft defense worked flawlessly, and all attacking drones (or missiles or projectiles with a flat trajectory) were destroyed. They often forget to mention how many were destroyed upon hitting the target... A rare confirmation that some losses occurred is the information about the death of Colonel Alexander Gala. He was a Su-30SM fighter pilot and the deputy commander for political affairs in the 14th Guards Fighter Aviation Regiment. He died on the ground on September 24, 2023, during a Ukrainian drone attack on the Kursk airport.

 Footage also emerged of a heavily damaged Kamov Ka-52 helicopter, claiming it was a victim of ATACMS missile attack on the Berdyansk airport. With over 50 shrapnel holes in the fuselage and canopy, The Military Watch clarified the situation. The attack on Berdyansk occurred in mid-October, and the first photos of this helicopter appeared in September. It's a Ka-52 with the designation RF-13442 and fuselage number "blue 50," which was irreparably damaged earlier and, after cannibalization of usable equipment, was sold to a private aviation museum at the Oreshkovo airport in the Russian Kaluga region. Thus, it ended up in the museum before the attack on Berdyansk.

The wreckage of the Ka-52 helicopter appeared in a private museum at Oreškovo airport in the Russian Kaluga region.

The corvette Askold was destroyed by Storm Shadow missiles in the port of Kerch in Crimea.

Ukrainian defenders respond to a night attack by Shahid drones.

 

Destroyed Corvette

 This does not in any way diminish the effectiveness of Ukrainian attacks on distant targets, which occur on the regular basis. Let's mention one in particular, which took place on Saturday, November 4, in the city of Kerch on the eastern part of the occupied Crimea peninsula. In the Zaliv shipyards, the Russian corvette Askold was anchored, which had not yet been officially completed and commissioned. According to footage from the video, it was hit at least twice by Storm Shadow cruise missiles. The third explosion could have been either a third hit or an explosion of ammunition on board. Subsequently, a photograph emerged confirming that the ship was seriously, possibly irreparably damaged. The entire port side, roughly from a third of the vessel backward, is torn and scorched.

 The Askold corvette belongs to the Project 22800 Karakurt class, representing modern ships and an example of how sanctions against Russia work. In this case, sanctions imposed after the illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014 have had an impact. Originally, Russia planned to build 18 of these corvettes and began building the first one in 2015. However, two corvettes were entirely canceled, and the completion of the remaining ones has been significantly delayed. So far, only four have been commissioned, and the fifth is undergoing trials. Another eight were launched several years ago, but they still lack all the necessary equipment. This also applied to the Askold corvette, whose commissioning was indefinitely postponed after the attack. Ships of this class have a length of 67 meters and a displacement of 820 tons. They carry a 100mm caliber gun and eight launchers for Kalibr cruise missiles.

 After all the previous Ukrainian attacks, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is left with seven surface ships and three submarines capable of launching Kalibr missiles. In the past, they routinely used them to shell Ukrainian cities. However, since September, they haven't done so. According to Ukrainian Navy representative Dmytro Pletenchuk, logistics issues are to blame. All infrastructure for storing Kalibr missiles and handling them was concentrated in the port of Sevastopol. However, after the Ukrainian attacks, the ships withdrew to Novorossiysk or smaller ports. These ports are not equipped to load Kalibr missiles into the warships' launchers. "Until they solve this problem, they can't attack from the sea. Or move to Sevastopol to load missiles. And that's dangerous for them," Pletenchuk told the Nexta channel.

 Against drones, Ukrainians use everything from machine guns to portable missiles (MANPADS) and anti-aircraft tanks Gepard.


Shahid Drone Offensive

 Of course, the Russian side does not confirm this claim by the Ukrainian representative. In the case of other types of missiles, however, it was clear that the Russians were saving them for mass attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. They did the same last winter. November brought increased intensity of Iranian Shahid 131 and 136 drone attacks. Russia launched a total of 374 of them onto Ukraine, the third-highest number for a single month so far. They even set a record – on the night of November 25, they launched 75, the highest number in a single attack. However, it didn't help them much because Ukrainian air defense destroyed 74.

 Russians are not very satisfied with the Shahid drones. They had high expectations, but the success of Iranian kamikaze drones significantly lagged behind. Moreover, according to the Obozrevatel server, they still struggle to start mass production of their version called Gerań and continue to depend on supplies from Iran. They are trying to test a new tactic at least. After mobile teams with anti-aircraft machine guns proved effective against Shahids, the Russians started sending them over impassable terrain – such as dense forests or swamps. Cars with machine guns have a lower chance of catching them. However, changing routes only extended the lifespan of Shahids in the Ukrainian sky, but it did not affect their success. There was a case when a Shahid flew over Ukraine for a full nine hours. However, as soon as the drones approach heavily defended targets, they are shot down.

 Iranian kamikaze drones also do not help weaken Ukrainian defenses because Ukraine does not use its most valuable missiles against them. The only benefit Russians get from them is that they help map the positions of air defenses. They can use this information in planning missile attacks. One unpleasant consequence for Ukraine during the observed period occurred in the Kherson region, where an important radar was revealed during a drone attack. Since it did not change its position, it was soon destroyed by the Russians.

Old Maxim machine guns will also come into play.

There are few shots of IRIS-T systems in Ukraine. If any are published, they conceal their place of deployment.

An older photo of the Ukrainian S-300 system in action.

The Ukrainian army aviation published a series of shots of Mi-8 helicopter winter operations.


FrankenSAM Program

 However, Ukraine and its allies are not sitting idle in anticipation of the expected winter wave of Russian attacks. Germany has been particularly active, delivering another IRIS-T system and promising a Patriot system. Norway has also pledged additional NASAMS systems. In the case of IRIS-T, it is the most modern German air defense system, which Ukraine received even before the German armed forces. The first system arrived in October of the previous year, and the second was delivered in April. In both cases, it was the SLM medium-range version with a range of 40 km horizontally and 20 km vertically. In August, Ukraine received two systems in the short-range SLS version with a range of 12 km horizontally and vertically. The fifth delivered IRIS-T system is again in the SLM version.

 The delivery of the first Patriot battery was announced by the USA a year ago in December. Germany delivered the second battery. Initially, both were deployed to defend Kyiv. Currently, one battery is stationed near the capital, and the other is near Odessa. Germany announced in the fall that it would deliver a third Patriot system battery to Ukraine during the winter.

 Approximately a year ago, the USA initiated a program unofficially called FrankenSAM. The last three letters stand for Surface-to-air missile, symbolizing the merging of various elements of different air defense systems into a new, consolidated one. This program also includes the delivery of MIM-23 Hawk missiles, signifying the revival of an old system. The Hawk system dates back to the 1960s but has undergone continuous modernization. The United States retired it in 2002, but they still have enough missiles stored in warehouses. Currently, around 20 countries still use it and could supply it to Ukraine. Spain did so already in November of the previous year, providing its MIM-23 missiles in the Phase III version from the late '80s and early '90s. However, it turned out that the Spanish systems were in very poor technical condition and needed comprehensive repair and modernization. Now, the MIM-23 Hawk has arrived in Ukraine for the second attempt. The system has a range of 40 km horizontally and 18 km vertically. Ukrainians used them for the first time on the night of October 22-23, shooting down several Shahid drones and one Ch-59 cruise missile.

 Further projects within the FrankenSAM program are more complex. One was initiated by Ukrainians who had around 60 Buk launcher units but lacked missiles. They asked foreign partners if they could modify them for the use of Western missiles. American engineers modified them to be able to launch RIM-7 Sea Sparrow missiles. According to an article in the New York Times, this conversion took seven months, and currently, Americans can modify five Buk systems per month. The range of these missiles is 19 km.

 Ukraine also received AIM-9M Sidewinder missiles from the USA modified for ground use. Originally, they are short-range air-to-air missiles with infrared guidance. Details about their launching system are not yet known, but there is speculation that they could be launched from self-propelled Osa systems (NATO code name Gecko). Soviet radars, of which Ukraine has plenty, are supposed to take care of target acquisition.

 Even more interesting is the connection between old Soviet radars and American missiles in the latest known project from the FrankenSAM program. This time it involves Patriot missiles that the USA would deliver. Other allies would provide the launching systems. Testing is currently underway, and during the winter, Ukraine could receive Patriot missiles connected to Soviet radars. The first test of this combination took place in October at the rocket range in New Mexico, successfully destroying a target drone.

Ukrainian two-seater Su-27UB.

Ukrainian self-propelled artillery Oksana on the chassis of Tatra 815 8x8 AV-15.


Czech Trace

 Finally, let's mention one curiosity that is only remotely related to the air war but could be interesting for Czech and Slovak readers. The Ukrainian 241st Territorial Defense Brigade has included the Oksana self-propelled gun in its armament, based on the Tatra 815 chassis. This truck was manufactured in Czechoslovakia since 1982, and a modified version is still produced in the Czech Republic nowadays. However, Ukrainians used the original vehicles with original cabins. Photos reveal versions AV-15, which was originally a crane vehicle, and version 20-VP, a flatbed truck for container transport.

 On the deck of these 8x8 vehicles, Ukrainians mounted old Soviet 100 mm caliber anti-aircraft guns KS-19 dating back to 1947. Now, of course, they are not used for fighting aircraft but for shelling ground targets. Their range in this role is 21 km. The advantage of the KS-19 cannons is that no other weapon uses 100mm caliber ammunition, so Ukrainians have plenty. The disadvantage is that this weapon requires a large crew and is also very heavy. For comparison, the American howitzer M777 caliber 155mm weighs 4.2 tons, while the KS-19 cannon weighs almost 10 tons.

This version of Oksana is on the chassis of Tatra 815 8x8 20-VP.


01/2024
Info EDUARD 01/2024

Welcome to the New Year! January’s new releases have been on sale for almost three weeks now, so I assume that you are already thoroughly familiar with them and many of you already have them in your posession. Nevertheless, I have to mention that, from my point of view, we are starting this year off with a bit of a bang. A first glance at the 48th scale Albatros D.III may not indicate this, but it too was once the top predator in a sky dominated by war clouds, and this kit offers a superb mix of stories and fates of its pilots and their opponents, as is our custom to uncover over the course of a kit’s development. We also had more than good reason to revive this topic, as you are about to find out.

1/1/2024

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