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AIR WAR IN UKRAINE
locations. Ukraine‘s internet infrastructure is much more decentralized, allowing it to cope with outages more effectively, whereas the destruction of data centers poses a major problem for Russia.
Refineries Are Feeling the Impact
Ukraine continued its campaign against Russian logistics and energy infrastructure in Crimea, but focused primarily on Russian oil refineries. This year, Ukrainian drones have attacked refineries more than seventy times (several facilities have been hit repeatedly), and Russian oil processing has fallen to its lowest level in 20 years. Russia is turning from an exporter into an importer and has been forced to import fuel, while diesel and gasoline prices for ordinary consumers continue to rise. Ukraine‘s General Staff estimated that Russia‘s oil industry suffered $13.5 billion in damage during the year from August 2025 onward.
Despite the significant impact on the Russian economy—and consequently on its ability to wage war—U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly begun calling on Ukraine to stop attacking Russian refineries. He argues that these attacks are driving up global diesel prices. He seems to overlook the fact that prices surged following his attack on Iran and the subsequent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly offered to halt attacks on Russian refineries if Moscow stops attacking Ukraine‘s energy infrastructure. However, Trump is putting no pressure on Russia whatsoever in this regard, directing his demands exclusively at Ukraine.
Operation Vivaldi
Russia has also intensified its air raids because its forces are making virtually no progress on the ground. Thanks in part to Operation Vivaldi near the city of Lyman, Ukrainian forces managed to liberate more territory than Russia succeeded in capturing in other sectors of the front. Operation Vivaldi was also notable for its innovative use of
drones. The Ukrainians converted old Soviet BTR-60 wheeled armored personnel carriers for remote control, filled them with explosives, and used them to breach Russian defensive lines. However, this type of tactic had already been used before.
What was entirely new, however, was the deployment of ground robots behind Russian lines using large aerial drones. These ground drones were armed with grenade launchers. They approached the entrances to bunkers occupied by Russian soldiers and began firing grenades inside. Once their ammunition was exhausted, they entered the bunkers and detonated the explosive charges they were carrying, effectively acting as kamikaze weapons.
F-16s Will Also Arrive from Belgium
Several pieces of good news also concern Ukraine‘s F-16 fighter jets. Ukraine has been warning for some time that it is facing a shortage of missiles for its air defense systems. As a result, fighter jets are playing an increasingly important role in the country‘s defense. Their importance has increased even further since the Russians began using jetpowered Geran drones on a larger scale.
In September, Lieutenant General Anatolii Kryvonozhko, commander of the Ukrainian Air Force, informed representatives of Lockheed Martin at a meeting that Ukrainian F-16 pilots had shot down more than 660 cruise missiles and 2,500 unmanned aerial vehicles over the course of two years.
In addition to defending against Russian air raids, Ukrainian F-16 pilots have also carried out more than 650 strikes against enemy ground targets using guided bombs. Their record also includes one officially confirmed shootdown of a Russian Su-35 fighter jet. Ukraine has lost five F-16s in return.
It is estimated that the Ukrainian Air Force currently operates just under 40 F-16s. These aircraft were supplied by Denmark, the Netherlands, and Norway. Belgium also
pledged to provide fighter jets in 2024, but delayed deliveries until it had received a sufficient number of new F-35 aircraft for its own air force.
Now, however, F-16 deliveries from Belgium are also set to begin. The first seven aircraft are expected to arrive by the end of this year. Three will immediately enter combat service, while four will be used exclusively as sources of spare parts. In total, Belgium will provide Ukraine with 53 F-16 aircraft in several stages, with deliveries scheduled to continue through the end of 2029.
The aircraft currently operated by Ukraine are older but modernized F-16AM Block 15/20 MLU variants. Lieutenant General Kryvonozhko and representatives of Lockheed Martin discussed possibilities for increasing the combat capabilities of these aircraft.
In the future, Ukraine could also receive the latest F-16C Block 70/72 variants. In this case, however, these aircraft would probably be intended more for rebuilding and modernizing the Ukrainian Air Force after the war, similar to the JAS 39 E/F Gripen and Rafale aircraft.
Belgium will begin delivering F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine later this year.
The Ukrainian Air Force currently operates just under 40 F-16 aircraft.
Innovations in the fight against Russian drones – launching interceptor drones from a Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter.
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INFO Eduard
November 2026